BINLEY: Rebooting our Iran policy for 2011

So what will the No. 1 foreign-policy challenge be for the Obama administration in 2011? The answer perhaps was given by Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, Florida Republican and the incoming House Foreign Affairs Committee chairman, when she said Iran was challenge "number one, number two and number three."
As the WikiLeaks' revelations made clear, the entire Middle East, from Israel to Saudi Arabia and the Persian Gulf countries, is in a state of extreme anxiety over Iran's policies. Those countries' concern is not limited to the regime's determined efforts to acquire nuclear weapons but includes its brutal and systematic violation of human rights, its persistent support for extremist and Islamic fundamentalist groups and its determination to interfere in the affairs of other nations, especially Iraq.
The Obama administration needs to realize that its "dual track" policy toward Iran of diplomatic engagements and sanctions is not only incompatible with the situation, it is directly counterproductive.
The administration's attempts to engage with the Iranian regime have been both fruitless and completely divorced from reality. State Department doves consistently have advocated this failed policy out of a mistaken view that the regime in Tehran is powerful and stable, and they consequently have argued that the only plausible option was to cut a deal with the mullahs' regime and ignore its opponents. Events have proved the doves to be wrong.
The anti-government protests that began in 2009 have consistently highlighted the weakness of their case and proved the opposite to be true. They repeatedly exposed a regime that is fragmented, devoid of a sound political base and fiercely opposed by a generation of young men and women who yearn for freedom and overwhelmingly support the demands of the organized resistance for internal regime change. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's ruthless regime has not only failed to stop the unrest, it has exacerbated internal schisms and underlined the regime's weaknesses. The new realities call for a new policy on Iran.
The time has come to adopt internal regime change as the U.S. policy on Iran. That is not a call for U.S. military intervention; it is a call to stand at the side of the Iranian people and their organized resistance to bring about democratic change.
Last week, at an international conference in Paris, dozens of political figures and former high-ranking officials from the United States, Europe and Arab countries, including Rudolph W. Giuliani, former mayor of New York City; Frances Townsend, adviser to President George W. Bush on homeland security and counterterrorism; Michael Mukasey, former attorney general; and Tom Ridge, former homeland security secretary, urged the international community to adopt a new approach toward the Iranian regime and the threats it poses.
As a first step, they all called on the American government to remove the People's Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI/MEK), the main opposition movement, from the State Department's list of foreign terrorist organizations.
The PMOI, which supports the overthrow of the Iranian government and the establishment of a democratic secular government, has been on the list since 1997, when the Clinton administration put it there in a bid to secure closer cooperation with Tehran. The results of this approach are clear.
Calling the designation a "disgrace," Mr. Giuliani said the U.S. should act enthusiastically on the side of the PMOI and its objectives.
Ms. Townsend reiterated that "the greatest single step ... the United States government can take to really put pressure on the Iranian regime and enable change is by delisting the PMOI. We should do that because the listing is not warranted by the evidence that is public, nor is [it] justified by anything that is classified."
In July, a U.S. federal appeals court challenged the basis of this designation and ordered the State Department to reconsider its decision. The United Kingdom and European Union removed the PMOI from their lists of proscribed terrorist organizations in 2008 and 2009, respectively.
Removing the terrorist tag would gain considerable support in Congress. A bipartisan group of more than 110 members only recently sponsored a House resolution calling for the delisting of the PMOI.
The blacklisting of the PMOI has not only restricted the main Iranian opposition, it has positively encouraged the mullahs' regime to more vigorously suppress its opponents, especially PMOI supporters, inside Iran. (Ali Saremi, 63, was executed Tuesday after spending 24 years behind bars over his support for the PMOI.) The mullahs' proxies in Iraq exploit the label to justify threats to Camp Ashraf in Iraq, where 3,400 members of the organization live. In July 2009, the camp came under attack by Iraqi forces at the behest of Tehran. Eleven people died, all of them unarmed and designated "protected persons" under the Fourth Geneva Convention, and 500 were wounded. The listing therefore puts the lives of these people at risk.
As Maryam Rajavi, president-elect of the Iranian resistance, put it, "The correct solution to the Iranian problem is regime change, a democratic change by the Iranian people and resistance. This is the defining factor in the Iranian equation. Thus, any policy that blocks the resistance ignores the most important factor for change in Iran and protects the regime."
When Iranians need all the resources at their disposal to bring about change, the unjust designation sends the wrong message to the brave Iranians who regularly take to the streets asking, "Obama, Obama, are you with them or with us?"
It is time to answer with a clear message: "We are with you."
Brian Binley is a member of Parliament from the United Kingdom's Conservative Party and a member of the British Parliamentary Committee for Iran Freedom.

Source: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/jan/2/rebooting-our-iran-policy-for-2011/?page=1

Israel preparing for 'large scale war': cable

Israel preparing for 'large scale war': cable
OSLO — Israel's army chief told a US Congress delegation in late 2009 he was preparing for a large war in the Middle East, probably against Hamas or Hezbollah, leaked US diplomatic cables showed on Sunday.
"I am preparing the Israeli army for a large scale war, since it is easier to scale down to a smaller operation than to do the opposite," Lieutenant General Gabi Ashkenazi was quoted as saying in a cable from the US embassy in Tel Aviv.
The document, dated November 15, 2009, was quoted Sunday in Norwegian by Oslo-based daily Aftenposten, which said it had obtained WikiLeaks' entire cache of 251,187 leaked US embassy cables.
"The rocket threat against Israel is more serious than ever. That is why Israel is putting such emphasis on rocket defence," Ashkenazi told the US delegation led by Democrat Ike Skelton, the cable showed.
The army chief lamented that Iran has some 300 Shihab rockets that can reach Israel and stressed that the Jewish state would have only between 10 and 12 minutes warning in case of an attack.
However, it was Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon that posed the most acute threat, he cautioned.
According to the quoted cable, Hezbollah is thought to have more than 40,000 rockets, many of which are believed capable of reaching deep into Israel.
US officials meanwhile reportedly estimate the militant group has acquired an arsenal of around 50,000 rockets.
A 2006 war between Hezbollah and Israel killed 1,200 Lebanese, many of them civilians, and 160 Israelis, most of them soldiers.
And in his comments made nearly a year after Israel on December 27, 2008 launched the deadly Gaza war, Ashkenazi said "Israel is on a collision course also with Hamas, which rules Gaza."
"Hamas will have the possibility to bombard Tel Aviv, with Israel's highest population concentration," he was quoted as saying.
The Gaza war -- a response to hundreds of rockets fired into the Jewish State -- killed some 1,400 mainly civilian Palestinians and 13 Israelis, 10 of them soldiers. It ended on January 18, 2009.
Israel had been harshly criticised for putting civilians at risk during fighting in the densely populated Gaza Strip.
However, in the cable leaked Sunday Ashkenazi is quoted saying Israel next time will not accept "any restrictions on warfare in populated areas," and insisted the army had never intentionally attacked civilian targets.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5hwmDqdrKrkY5csBKn1BzzaL-mgJQ?docId=CNG.68f5e94c91d2e5bac59427d81c150711.671

Killing Iran's Energy Industry

Killing Iran's Energy Industry

An incremental approach to sanctions can beat back Iran's nuclear aspirations without spooking the oil market.


The Reserve Bank of India has opened up a major new front in the global effort to tighten the economic screws on Tehran. Under pressure from the United States, the Indian central bank last week blocked domestic buyers of Iranian oil from making payments through the Asian Clearing Union. But further measures, and time for them to work, will still be needed to convince Iran to abandon its nuclear weapons program.
While oil sales to India can still clear through commercial banks, they will be more transparent, subjecting them to scrutiny under financial sanctions laws enacted by the U.S., the ...


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704735304576057160516780984.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Sean Penn setzt sich für die Freilassung Jafar Panahis ein

Sean Penn für Freilassung

Sean Penn setzt sich für die Freilassung Jafar Panahis ein

Sean Penn und Co. setzen sich mit Amnesty International für die Freilassung von Jafar Panahi ein. Der iranische Regisseur wurde wegen "Propaganda gegen den Staat" zu sechs Jahren Gefängnis verurteilt.

29.12.2010, 11:27 Uhr
Sean Penn - Jafar Panahi Sean Penn und Co. setzen sich für Jafar
Panahis Freilassung ein
Sean Penn setzt sich für die Freilassung eines iranischen Filmemachers ein. Amnesty International konnte neben dem Schauspieler auch noch Paul Haggis und Harvey Weinstein für die Kampagne zur Freilassung von Jafar Panahi rekrutieren.

Panahi zählt zu den großen iranischen Filmemachern, und wurde 2000 sogar mit dem Goldenen Löwen ausgezeichnet. Der Regisseur wurde im März festgenommen und wegen „Propaganda gegen den Staat“ zu sechs Jahren Gefängnis verurteilt, er hatte das politische Regime des Irans kritisiert. Sean Penn und Co. setzen sich mit Petitionen für den Iraner ein und Fordern seine Freilassung.

„Als jemand, der sich oft in Probleme gestürzt hat, weil er seinen Mund aufgemacht hat, ist die Vorstellung hart, dafür sechs Jahre eingekerkert zu werden, lediglich weil ich meine Meinung sage oder 20 Jahre aus dem Filmgeschäft verbannt zu werden.“, sagte Sean Penns Mitstreiter Paul Haggis über die momentane Situation


http://www.erdbeerlounge.de/stars-entertainment/Sean-Penn-setzt-sich-fuer-die-Freilassung-Jafar-Panahis-ein-12734-_a15663/site1-0-0
Jafar Panahis.

آلمان سفیر ایران در این کشور را احضار کرد

آلمان سفیر ایران در این کشور را احضار کرد

پوسترهای سکینه محمدی آشتیانی در دست معترضان
دو خبرنگار آلمانی درحال مصاحبه با پسر خانم آشتیانی بازداشت شده بودند
دولت آلمان سفیر ایران در این کشور را در اعتراض به ممانعت حکومت ایران از دیدار بستگان دو خبرنگار آلمانی زندانی در ایران با این دو نفر، به وزارت خارجه آلمان احضار کرده است.
این دو خبرنگار آلمانی در ماه اکتبر و زمانی بازداشت شدند که برای تهیه گزارشی در مورد سکینه محمدی آشتیانی، زن ایرانی محکوم به سنگسار، به ایران سفر کرده بودند.
خواهر یکی از این دو خبرنگار و مادر نفر دیگر روز جمعه ۲۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۰ (۳ دی ۱۳۸۹) به ایران سفر کرده بودند تا به همراه سفیر آلمان در ایران و در آستانه سال نوی میلادی با این دو زندانی دیدار کنند.
یکی از سخنگویان وزارت خارجه آلمان گفت به دلیل "قول های مکرر مقام های ایران"، انتظار آنها این بود که این دیدار انجام شود.
وزارت خارجه آلمان هم در اعتراض به انجام نشدن این دیدار، علیرضا شیخ عطار، سفیر ایران در برلین، را احضار کرده و "صریحا" ناخرسندی دولت آلمان را به او اطلاع داده است.
خانم آشتیانی به اتهام زنای محصنه به سنگسار محکوم شده است اما این حکم محکومیت گسترده و شدید بین المللی را در پی آورده و مقام های ایرانی گفته اند که اجرای حکم را برای رسیدگی بیشتر به حالت تعلیق درآورده اند.
یک سخنگوی وزارت خارجه ایران چند هفته پیش گفت که قوه قضاییه درحال بررسی درخواستی برای دادن اجازه به دو آلمانی زندانی برای گذراندن کریسمس در کنار خانواده هایشان است.
اما به گزارش خبرگزاری آسوشیتدپرس، مقام های ایرانی هرگز رسما تایید نکردند که اجازه دیدار خانواده هایشان با آنها را در زندان خواهند داد.
گزارش ها حاکیست که این این دو خبرنگار با روادید توریستی وارد ایران شده بودند و در شهر تبریز هنگام مصاحبه با پسر خانم آشتیانی بازداشت شدند.
مقام های ایرانی می گویند که این دو به نقض قوانین ایران اعتراف کرده اند، زیرا براساس این قوانین کسی که با ویزای توریستی وارد می شود حق کار به عنوان خبرنگار را ندارد.
تلویزیون جمهوری اسلامی چهل روز قبل "اعترافات" این دو شهروند آلمانی را پخش کرد.
آنها در این برنامه از "اشتباه خود" در تلاش برای راه انداختن کمپین بین المللی علیه حکم سنگسار این زن ایرانی سخن گفتند
http://www.bbc.co.uk/persian/iran/2010/12/101227_l17_germany_summon_iran_ambassador.shtml.

No Solidarity with the German Journalists Arrested in Iran

Hamburg, December 15, 2010

No Solidarity with the German Journalists Arrested in Iran

http://www.matthiaskuentzel.de/contents/no-solidarity-with-the-german-journalists-arrested-in-iran

Public indifference encourages the regime · By Matthias Küntzel
 
The prison in Tabriz is old, its walls dilapidated, its sewage system in disrepair. Tehran has been holding two German journalists behind these walls since October 10th, because they had demonstrated their interest in Sakineh Ashtiani, a 43-year old Iranian woman facing execution. The two men are Marcus Hellwig, a 35-year old professional journalist for Germany’s largest Sunday paper “Bild am Sonntag” (circulation: 2.2 million), and Jens Koch, a 45-year old photojournalist.
During the first eleven days of the journalists’ captivity, even officials from the German embassy were refused visits. The captives were not allowed to contact their relatives until the eighth week of their imprisonment. The prisoners continue to be prohibited any contact with lawyers even to this day. What crime have they committed?
In the beginning, they were accused of a visa offence – they had entered the country as tourists in order to circumvent the censorship restrictions on journalists. Observers assumed there would be a warning followed by a quick expulsion from the country, but nothing of the sort occurred. Instead, Iran’s state news station presented the prisoners during the fifth week of their captivity, on November 15, as “spies”. The single piece of proof: their notes from an interview that they had conducted with Sakineh’s son, Sajjad. Espionage is among the crimes that carry the death penalty in Iran.
Whether or not these accusations will also play a role in the future remains uncertain. Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai, who is Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s closest associate, recently stated that “we don’t have any evidence that they acted as spies” – the matter, however, remained “an issue for the judiciary”.
According to “Reporters Without Borders”, there has never been a comparable attack on freedom of opinion in Germany’s recent history.
This fate of the two journalists was reported on in Germany – nothing more was done, however. The Federal Government practiced “quiet diplomacy” and did not respond to the accusations of espionage.
On December 2nd, Germany’s Bundestag passed a resolution on human rights abuses in Iran – still, there wasn’t a single reference to the imprisonment of the German journalists in the resolution.
The Axel Springer AG, which employs both reporters, has also remained discrete. In the beginning, its spokesperson claimed not to have any knowledge about the arrest of its employees. It was not until Tehran publicly displayed the journalists in its state owned media that “Bild am Sonntag” admitted to having sent the two reporters to Iran. While it has since expressed solidarity with the journalists, it still hasn’t disclosed their names.
There is no doubt that Tehran’s regime is among the world’s most brutal. These two German journalists represent valuable hostages for the regime with which it can exercise tremendous pressure on a Federal Government, which has already shown itself to be an uncertain ally in enforcing international sanctions. What reason does Tehran have to voluntarily discard this trump card?
Diplomats acting behind the scenes certainly need to keep a low profile, but it doesn’t make sense to me that the German parliament and representatives of the media and civil society have also been speaking in whispers. Do they believe that protests would harm the prisoners and pussyfooting around would increase their chances?
The hopes pinned to getting Tehran to give in by showing restraint are at the same time understandable and inappropriate. They are understandable, because normally, one would expect one’s partner in a negotiation to repay generosity in kind. They are inappropriate, because the accepted patterns of dialogue do not pertain to Iran’s revolutionary regime.
This regime considers kindness a proof of weakness which provides it with extra latitude. Barack Obama experienced this when his gesture to reach out a hand to Tehran was simply rejected. We are experiencing this now as well – Berlin reacted to the imprisonment of the German journalists with exceptional levels of restraint. Tehran only drew encouragement from this reaction, escalated the conflict with the accusations of espionage and continues to keep the journalists behind bars.
It is time to learn from these experiences. Tehran must sense that public opinion in Germany and elsewhere rests on the side of the two journalists. Our neighbours have shown us how it’s done. When French journalists are detained or abducted, their colleagues see to it that every day during the French public station’s main news broadcast, photos of the journalists, their names and the number of days they have been imprisoned are inserted into the programme. This creates pressure for action.
The fact that international pressure can have an effect was shown by the solidarity with Sakineh Ashtani. The regime suspended her stoning, which had already been ordained. Sakineh, however, continues to be in danger – indeed, great danger, because in addition to the Germans, authorities also detained Sakineh’s son Sayyid and her lawyer. If the prison conditions are so wretched for the Germans, how must they be for Sakineh’s son and lawyer?
Since October 10th, solidarity with Sakineh can no longer be separated from the efforts to free her son and lawyer and the German journalists. The “Bild am Sonntag” reporters are still stuck where Sakineh herself is stuck – the dilapidated prison in Tabriz.
Translated from the German by Robert Blasiak

Iran president faces anger at home over firing FM

Iran president faces anger at home over firing FM

By NASSER KARIMI and BRIAN MURPHY
The Associated Press
Tuesday, December 14, 2010; 12:17 PM


TEHRAN, Iran -- President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad faced outrage at home Tuesday over the ambush-style dismissal of his longtime foreign minister, more evidence of a growing rift in Iran's conservative leadership just as Tehran reopens talks with world powers on its disputed nuclear program.
Iran's leaders tried to quiet the rumblings by insisting there was no fundamental policy shifts behind the surprise decision Monday to dump Manouchehr Mottaki while he was in the middle of a diplomatic mission to Senegal and appoint nuclear chief Ali Akbar Salehi interim foreign minister.
But the fallout from some top lawmakers and the media - even one of Tehran's most hard-line newspapers - pointed to bigger questions about growing splits between Ahmadinejad and rivals from within the country's conservative leadership who see the move as a presidential power grab and cronyism.
It also raises the possibility of new friction between Ahmadinejad and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who holds ultimate power in the country and has clashed with the president over political appointments in the past.
"The dismissal of the foreign minister during a foreign mission will have a heavy price" for Iran's diplomacy, said Mohammad Karamirad, a member of parliament's influential National Security and Foreign Policy Committee.
Mottaki has made no public comment. But he returned to Iran Tuesday and was greeted at the foreign ministry by some staff in what appeared to be a show of support and a protest against his dismissal.
Divisions among Iran's conservative blocs have been evident since Ahmadinejad's disputed re-election last year - which brought wide-ranging crackdowns on dissidents and marked a sharp rise in the influence of his main backers, the powerful Revolutionary Guard.
But the political dismay over Mottaki's forced exit suggests the fissures could be widening over complaints about Ahmadinejad's combative style and his attempts to keep power among a tight circle of loyalists.
It could leave Ahmadinejad more isolated as the ruling system confronts multiple challenges, including an economy stumbling under international sanctions and whether to continue defying Western demands to halt uranium enrichment - the position that brought four rounds of sanctions on.
Uranium enrichment is the most contentious part of Iran's nuclear program. Uranium enriched to low levels can be used for nuclear power but enriched to higher levels it can be used to make nuclear weapons. The U.S. and its allies suspect Iran is aiming to make a nuclear weapon, a charge Iran denies.
Talks on the nuclear program between Iran and world powers, including the United States, resumed last week after a long hiatus and the next meeting is scheduled for early 2011.
Iran's foreign ministry spokesman, Ramin Mehmanparast, said placing nuclear chief Salehi as the country's top diplomat did not signal a change of course.
"With the change, we will not see any change in Iran's basic policies," including the nuclear talks, Mehmanparast told reporters in his weekly briefing.
He also stressed that all critical policy decisions come at "higher levels" than the foreign ministry - a clear reference to the Supreme Council of National Security that includes Ahmadinejad and Khamenei, who has final say on all state matters.
But the foreign minister is still one of the main messengers and salesmen for Iran's views. The decision ahead is whether Mottaki's successor - Salehi or another - will reflect the more aggressive style favored by Ahmadinejad or a more measured tone as a counterbalance.
Ahmad Bakhshayesh, a professor of politics in Tehran University, said the shake-up indicates disputes over Iran's "tactics" on the world stage, but does not believe it will change its overall direction.
"Mottaki was committed to diplomatic dignities and did not follow the attitudes of Ahmadinejad," such as his anti-Western barbs, said Bakhshayesh.
Another Iranian analyst, Meir Javedanfar, believes Khamenei pushed for the change because he "expects tough times ahead" with nuclear talks and the prospect of more sanctions.
"He wanted to streamline the foreign policy issues by putting someone there who could work with Ahmadinejad, rather than someone who disagreed with him strongly," said Javedanfar, an Iranian-born political commentator now based in Israel.
Khamenei has not made any public comment on the issue.

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Much of the domestic criticism dwelled on the apparent blow Ahmadinejad inflicted on Iran's image for pushing out Mottaki in the middle of a state trip.
"He was removed in the worst way and the result is that the world is making fun of us," parliament member Ghodratollah Alikhani was quoted by the conservative Tabnak website.
The hardline daily Kayhan - normally a friendly voice for Ahmadinejad - called it an "open insult" toward Mottaki, who had served under Ahmadinejad since his first Cabinet in 2005.
But tensions between them were apparent.
Mottaki challenged Ahmadinejad's plan to appoint his own special foreign envoys to key areas such as the Middle East, Afghanistan and the Caspian Sea region. Mottaki won that round after reportedly getting Supreme Leader Khamenei to intervene. Ahmadinejad eventually reclassified the envoy posts as advisers.
Mottaki also could have run afoul with Ahmadinejad's protectors, the Revolutionary Guard. Some hard-liners accused Mottaki as being weak in defending Iran against arms trafficking allegations by Nigeria, which has charged an Iranian and three Nigerian in connection with a weapons shipment uncovered in October.
Mottaki also faced similar claims that he was not forceful enough in opposing U.N. sanctions. Iran insists its nuclear program is only for energy and research.
Under Iran's constitution, the president is allowed to dismiss ministers and must submit the replacement nominee to parliament for approval within three months.
Conservative opponents hold a strong power base in parliament, led by speaker Ali Larijani, who is a close ally of Mottaki. It could make for a rough ride for Ahmadinejad's eventual choice.
---
Associated Press writer Ali Akbar Dareini contributed to this report. Murphy reported from Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/12/14/AR2010121400530_2.html